TROPICAL CYCLONE CODY – CATEGORY 1
Winds 58 mph (ca. 94km/h)Gusts 70 mph (ca. 113 km/h)
Pressure: 988 mbar
Moving: SE 14 mph (ca. 23 km/h)
Cody is located 911 km south of Suva, Fiji, and has moved east-southeastward at 22 km/h (12 knots) over the past 6 hours.
Cody is tracking to the south along the western side of a deep, complex ridge pattern extending southward from a near-equatorial ridge centered near 10S.
The subtropical ridge portion of this complex is expected to build and extend towards the west to the south of Cody over the next 12 hours. Cody will slow down as a result, to roughly half its current forward speed.
Intensity is forecast to remain relatively steady through most of the forecast, with a slight weakening by the end of the forecast period. Cody currently exhibits both tropical and subtropical features, as noted above.
As it continues moving southward over progressively cooler waters and into an area of increasing wind shear, it is expected to transition to a gale-force subtropical low in 24 hours.
After 2 days, the system will transition to a gale-force, cold-core cyclone as it approaches the North Island of New Zealand.
The numerical track guidance is in good agreement through the forecast period, with all trackers closely packed into a 74 km envelope, lending high confidence to the JTWC forecast track.
Intensity guidance remains tightly clustered about the mean, lending high confidence to the intensity forecast.
The maximum significant wave height is 6.7 meters (22 feet).
