TROPICAL STORM MUIFA 2022 - UPDATE 39 9.16.22 2AM FINAL

Name MUIFA-22

Glide number TC-2022-000301-KOR

From – To 06 Sep – 16 Sep

Exposed countries: China, Japan

Exposed population:  30.5 million in Category 1 or higher

Maximum wind speed: 213 km/h Category 4

Maximum storm surge:  2.5 m (14 Sep 14:00 UTC)

Vulnerability: Medium (China)

TROPICAL STORM MUIFA (EX-#INDAYPH)

UPDATE 39 9.16.22 2AM

Winds 40mph (ca. 64 km/h)

Gusts 52mph (ca. 84 km/h)

Course NW 16mph (ca. 26 km/h)

Pressure 998 MB

Location 36.2°N 120.4°E

Tropical Storm: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 39 mph (62.76 km/h) to 73 mph (117.48 km/h). The destructive power of storm surges and large battering waves can result in loss of life, buildings destroyed, beach and dune erosion, and road and bridge damage along the coast. Storm surges can travel several miles inland. In estuaries and bayous, saltwater intrusion endangers public health and the environment.

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Haiyang (36.8 N, 121.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Dalian (39.0 N, 121.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Muifa (Philippine name Inday) is located 457 km north-northwest of Shanghai, China, and has moved northward at 22 km/h (12 knots) over the past 6 hours.

Muifa has crested the subtropical ridge axis and will now accelerate northeastward as it tracks over the Shandong Bandao Peninsula, across the gulf of Bohai, then make a final landfall on the Bohai peninsula in around 18 hours.

The highly unfavorable conditions will continue rapidly to erode the system leading to dissipation in 36 hours, very likely sooner, as it drags further inland into northeastern China.

Forecast models are in very tight agreement, lending high confidence to the JTWC track forecast. There is only medium confidence in the intensity forecast due to the uncertainties of land interaction, leading to a possible Early dissipation.

The maximum significant wave height is 4.3 meters (ca. 14 feet).

LANDFALL ON ZHANSHOU ISLAND AT 20.30 9/14/22 LOCAL TIME

AND AT 10.00PM ON DAISHAN ISLAND

AND AT 12AM 9/15/22 JINSHAN DISTRICT

PEAK MOMENT WITH 140 mph (ca. 225 km/h)