This is a dangerous system. Damaging winds, heavy rainfall, storm surge, rough seas, mudslides, and flash flooding are all possible risks.
Malakas (Philippine name Basyang) is located 300 km southwest of Iwo To, and has moved north-northeastward at 24 km/h (13 knots) over the past 6 hours.
Malakas will accelerate north-northeastward on the poleward side of the subtropical ridge. The environment is expected to further deteriorate as wind shear increases to 30 knots+, sea surface temperatures cools down to 24°C and less, and dry air intrusion reaches the LLC. Additionally, the system will enter the cold baroclinic zone in around 12 hours and commence extra-tropical transition in 24 hours.
The combined effect will result in rapid weakening and in 36 hours, Malakas will be reduced to 85 km/h (45 knots) and transform into a strong gale-force cold-core low with an expanding wind field.
Forecast guidance are in very tight agreement with minimal, even, and gradual spread to just 232 km in 2 days, lending high confidence to the JTWC track forecast.
Maximum significant wave height is 12.8 meters (42 feet).
Datasheet 1-minute-scale
Winds 110 mph (ca. 177 km/h)
Gusts 138 mph (ca. 222 km/h)
Pressure 961 mbar
Located at 25.37N 140.25E
moving northwest at 360 degrees at 15 mph (ca. 24 km/h)
CONE/TRACK
COVERAGE AREA
Yellow area = coverage area
Red area = updated every 6 hours
PAR region updates every 3 hours